Social Contract or Expert Rule: Capitalism, Democratic Politics, Economic Expertise, and the Battle against „Populism“

In: Critical Review, 1-21

The German Wirtschaftswunder was not the result of economic expertise applied by Ludwig Erhard to postwar West Germany. There is no universally applicable theory-cum-practice of a “social market economy.” A capitalist economy is a political economy that requires an – always fragile – political settlement between capital and labour, one that needs to be re-negotiated on a current basis in the light of changing relations of power between the classes. To the extent that this requires expertise, it is the expertise of political practitioners, not of economists.“The economy” is not a second nature but a social battlefield..

François Godard’s book Germany, France, and Postwar Democratic Capitalims: Expert Rule – based upon his doctoral dissertation at the University of Geneva – could not be more ambitious: a history of post-1945 economic policy, indeed political-economic state-building, or democracy-building, in the two largest West European countries, Germany and France, complemented by two shadow cases, the UK and Italy, stretching out over nearly three decades. What we have here is, in short, high-grade historical institutionalism, driven by a dual program: empirically-historically, to show that West European postwar prosperity was owed, not to political compromise between capital and labor, but to states and governments applying expert knowledge on the economy to the economy; and theoretically-paradigmatically, to suggest that what counts in the world of democratic capitalism, and presumably not just there, are expert ideas, or “ideational models,” adopted and realized by government, rather than economic interests or the deals struck with and between them. (…)

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The Road Right

In: New Left Review, issue 152: On the German election of February 2025.

A high-turnout election, sharply polarized around immigration, has brought another centrist coalition to power in Berlin. Wolfgang Streeck offers an unsparing analysis of Germany´s political situation as its hardline incoming Chancellor rams through an expansive fiscal revolution and the far-right AfD doubles its seats..

In early march 2025, as Chancellor-in-waiting Friedrich Merz laid the groundwork for a massive German military build-up, sidelining the newly elected parliament to push through fiscal reforms that would double the annual defence budget to €100 billion, the Euro-establishment was in celebratory mood. Merz’s rearmament drive was ‘a stroke of commendable boldness’ and ‘a fantastic start’, declared the Economist. ‘From Paris to Warsaw, Brussels and beyond’, Merz’s move had understandably produced ‘giddy excitement’. The Guardian hailed it as a ‘bold and necessary leap’, a ‘chance to renew mainstream politics’ and ‘unleash the radical centre’. For the FT, it represented nothing less than ‘the reawakening of Germany’; for Le Monde, a ‘major and welcome turning point’. The measures may have required certain ‘democratic gymnastics’ to bypass the freshly elected Bundestag, Le Monde conceded, but ‘the times call for boldness’, and ‘the new dynamic in Berlin should be encouraged’. For El País, ‘“Germany is back” means “Europe is back”!’ Merz’s leadership ‘points the way for the rest of Europe.’ (…)

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Overextended: The European Disunion at a Crossroads

In: American Affairs, Volume IX, No. 1, Spring 2025, pp. 100-122.

With hindsight, one might consider Brexit, consummated after long haggling in 2020, the last, and lost, opportunity for the European Union to mend its ways and become a viable political entity, if not community.1 The departure of the United Kingdom did not register as a warning that the Union had become too internally diverse to hold together, having rapidly expanded both territorially and functionally. To the contrary, Germany under Merkel and France under Macron saw an opportunity, or pretended to see one, to push the old integration project—the “ever closer union of the peoples of Europe”—forward, now that “Euroskeptic” Britain, one of the Union’s Big Three, had left. But then, they arguably had little choice as the EU’s de facto constitution (two international treaties each hundreds of pages long) is practically unchangeable as any amendment has to be agreed by all member states, which some can do only after a referendum. One may assume that this rigidity was exactly what was desired when the treaties in their present form were signed in Maastricht in 1992 and Amsterdam in 1997, to cast in stone the logic of neoliberal political economy that was at the time considered the ultimate stage of economic wisdom. (…)

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A Matter of State: The Politics of German Anti-Anti-Semitism

In: European Journal of Social Theory, online first, 5 December 2024.

Accessing and explicating the complexities of the collective subconscious that underlies a culture requires a hermeneutic skill and a richness of concepts and examples that is not at my disposal. I have nothing to add to Heidrun Friese’s insightful psycho-analysis of the Tätervolk that wants to draw a Schlussstrich by insisting that it doesn’t want to draw a Schlussstrich, offering reparation, Wiedergutmachung, for what cannot be repaired, hoping to be forgiven the unforgivable by declaring it unforgivable. I will instead focus on a simpler subject, one that lends itself, I hope, to be treated with the less sophisticated toolkit of the political scientist: not the depths of culture but the heights of politics, of government, of state, in particular the contingencies and constraints faced by a German state which had chosen to be the successor state of the Drittes Reich, in its dual relationship with its international context and its domestic society. (…)

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The Transformation of German Politics

Comments by Molly O’Neal and Wolfgang Streeck, moderated by Anatol Lieven.

Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, September 25, 2024.

The latest state election results in eastern Germany mark a tectonic shift in Germany’s political configuration. The surge in support for the rightwing populist Alternative for Germany (AfD) and the even more striking rise from nowhere of the leftwing Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) reflect deepening public dissatisfaction with levels of immigration, support for Ukraine, and the state of the economy. According to polls across Germany, support for the parties of the existing governing coalition is sinking fast. If this pattern is sustained, the coming national elections may lead to radical changes in key German policies. (…)

Read and watch on: quincyinst.org

Notes on the Political Economy of War

In: Review of Keynesian Economics, 12(3), 293–307.

Written in an essayistic style, this paper explores some of the facets of the complex dynamics of modern warfare, probing the dynamic nature of conflicts; the role of technology and technological progress – the means of destruction as distinguished from the means of production – in modern war; the role of the United States in the globalization of warfare; asymmetric war between civilization and barbarism; and new distinctions between good and bad war, together with new concepts of heroism and mercenaryism. The paper also touches on the socio-cultural impacts of war, including its potential to foster unity or exacerbate divisions within societies.

Wars are about killing and getting killed. This makes them passionate affairs, bordering on the metaphysical. When it comes to combat on the ground, there are no technocratic wars, clean and cool, conducted on the battlefield with the Hague Land Warfare Convention in hand. If the choice is between committing a war crime and dying, soldiers don’t think long. They also cannot but ultimately hate those who are out to kill them, which makes it easier to kill them first as a precaution. Families back home will forgive; it is better if the enemy dies than their son, husband, or father. Prosecution of soldiers by their country for war crimes is rare; even rarer is conviction, morale being more important in war than morals. (…)

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Anti-Constitutional

Review of Ronen Steinke (2023), Verfassungsschutz: Wie der Geheimdienst Politik macht, Berlin: Berlin Verlag.

Appeared in London Review of Books, 46 (16), 15 August 2024.

The​ Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution (Bundesamt für Verfassungsschutz, or BfV) owes its existence to the Allies. When the Western powers gave the green light for the creation of the Federal Republic of Germany in their zones of occupation in 1949, they also gave the constituent assembly permission to set up ‘an office to collect and disseminate information on subversive activities against the federal government’. According to Ronen Steinke, the intention was to nip in the bud any attempt at a coup d’état, whether fascist or communist, that would have given the Soviet Union an excuse to invade western Germany. (Instead, the Soviets founded their own German state, the German Democratic Republic.) In post-fascist Germany, where memories of the Gestapo were still vivid, setting up a domestic intelligence agency for political surveillance was a politically sensitive move. The Allies had already passed a statute in 1946 disbanding ‘any German police bureaux and agencies charged with the surveillance and control of political activities’. Three years later, writing to the constituent assembly, they reiterated that the new agency ‘must not have police powers’. (…)

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The EU at War: After Two Years

In: Society, July 18, 2024.

The paper explores the role of the European Union (EU) in the war in Ukraine, from the run-up of the war to its impact on the EU’s future structure and functions, within Europe and globally. It begins with an account of the condition of the EU before the war, which it describes as overextended and stagnant with respect to the EU’s proclaimed finalité, the “ever closer union of the peoples of Europe.” Next, it recounts the use of the EU in early American attempts to include Ukraine in the East European enlargement of NATO, with EU membership as a reward for Ukrainian Westernization. To the EU leadership, this presented an opportunity to revive older, by then largely failed attempts at supranational unification and centralization, by offering to the United States to serve as its transatlantic base for its Ukrainian strategy. Following this, the paper explores the consequences for the EU and its stronger member states of the impending American withdrawal from the Ukrainian war theater, as the US turns to its conflict with China. The final section discusses the conditions under which Europe, the European states, and the EU can hope for some kind of strategic and political autonomy in the emerging new New World Order.

By the time the war over Ukraine broke out, the European Union (EU) was a disorderly assortment of the remnants of various incomplete attempts at what had been called “European integration” — a vast supranational would-be state that had become practically ungovernable due to overextension and the extreme internal heterogeneity that had come with it. Rather than a supranational superstate ending the separate existence of the European nation-states, the EU had become a battlefield, or negotiating arena, for its member states pursuing their individual interests, both directly and indirectly: directly by negotiating deals with each other, indirectly by trying to control each other via the EU’s supranational institutions. Among the integration projects that had got stuck during the lifetime of the EU and its two predecessor organizations — the European Economic Community (EEC; 1957–1972) and the European Community (European Commission; 1972–1993) — we may list the so-called Social Dimension of the 1970s and 1980s, which fell victim to the turn towards a neoliberal supply-side economic policy during the long Delors presidency (1985–1994); the Internal Market of 1992, which remained unfinished; the European Monetary Union of 1999, which includes only some of the EU’s member states and has remained without a banking union, a fiscal union and, above all, a political union; the economic convergence of member states’ growth models, or varieties of capitalism; the political and social convergence of new member countries on the liberal “rule-of-law” constitutional model of Western Europe; etc. etc. (…)

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Versión española:
La Unión Europea en guerra: dos años después

Diario Red, 22 de julio 2024.

Para Estados Unidos una larga guerra de desgaste librada en el centro de Europa a lo largo de la frontera occidental rusa, tendría el efecto de atar corto y de modo conveniente a los europeos.

Este artículo analiza el papel de la Unión Europea (UE) en la guerra de Ucrania, desde los prolegómenos de la misma hasta sus repercusiones en la futura estructura y funciones de la UE, tanto en el seno de Europa como globalmente. Comienza con una descripción de la situación de la UE antes de la guerra, que describo como sobredimensionada y estancada con respecto a la proclamada finalité de la UE, la «unión cada vez más estrecha de los pueblos de Europa». A continuación relato la utilización preliminar de la UE por parte de Estados Unidos en su plan de ampliación de la OTAN hacia Europa Oriental, iniciativa que contemplaba la incorporación de Ucrania y su ingreso en la UE como recompensa por su occidentalización. Para los dirigentes europeos, ello representaba una oportunidad de revivir antiguos intentos de unificación y centralización supranacionales, por entonces en gran medida fallidos, para lo cual ofrecieron a Estados Unidos la Unión Europea como base transatlántica para su estrategia ucraniana. A continuación, el artículo explora las consecuencias para la UE y para sus Estados miembros más fuertes de la inminente retirada estadounidense del escenario bélico ucraniano a medida que Estados Unidos se concentra en su conflicto con China. La sección final analiza las condiciones en las que Europa, los Estados europeos y la UE pueden aspirar a algún tipo de autonomía estratégica y política en el Nuevo Orden Mundial emergente. (…)

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Germans against the mainstream

New Statesman, June 18, 2024.

The country is divided between east and west once more.

Like in the rest of Europe, the European Parliamentary elections in Germany took place against the backdrop of a decade-long decline of confidence in governments and political parties. Growing sections of European societies experience life in the throngs of rapid and unpredictable change, driven by intersecting crises including economic stagnation, rising public debt, increasing inflation, growing inequality, precarious work and employment, a shortage of housing, environmental deterioration, and a decaying public infrastructure, such as transportation, public health, primary education, social security and care for the elderly. This has created a widespread sense of uncertainty and anxiety about the future, and a declining respect for politics as usual, which is considered to be unable to protect the lives of ordinary citizens from ever more threatening individual and collective risks. Not an easy time for governments and the parties that run them. (…)

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Versión española:
Crisis en el extremo centro alemán

El Salto, 27 de junio 2024.

Los votantes que hace cinco años podrían haber confiado en que era posible un modelo de «resolución de problemas» de corte despolitizado, como el practicado por la Unión Europea, han llegado a la conclusión de que esta no ha superado la prueba.

Como en el resto de Europa, las elecciones al Parlamento Europeo en Alemania se celebraron en el actual contexto del declive inexorable de la confianza en los gobiernos y los partidos políticos verificado durante la última década. Sectores cada vez mayores de las sociedades europeas viven su vida cotidiana en medio de innumerables cambios rápidos e impredecibles, impulsados por crisis recíprocamente articuladas entre las que se cuentan el estancamiento económico, el aumento de la deuda pública, el incremento de la inflación, el aumento de la desigualdad, el trabajo y el empleo precarios, la escasez de vivienda, el deterioro del medio ambiente y el abandono de las infraestructuras públicas con efectos devastadores en el transporte, la sanidad pública, la educación primaria, la seguridad social y la atención a las personas mayores. Todo ello ha creado una sensación generalizada de incertidumbre y ansiedad ante el futuro y ha propiciado un respeto cada vez menor por la política tradicional tal y como se ha practicado durante las últimas décadas, que se considera incapaz de proteger la vida de los ciudadanos de a pie frente a la actual caterva de riesgos individuales y colectivos realmente existentes, cuyo cariz es cada vez más amenazador. No son tiempos fáciles para los gobiernos ni para los partidos que los dirigen. (…)

Continúe en elsaltodiario.com

Dieser Weg wird kein leichter sein

Soziopolis, 05. Juni 2024.

Kommentar zu „Verkaufte Zukunft. Warum der Kampf gegen den Klimawandel zu scheitern droht“ von Jens Beckert.

Es ist gut, wenn auch einmal ein Soziologe über die Klimakrise und ihre politische und ökonomische Bewältigung – oder auch Nicht-Bewältigung – schreibt, und das Feld nicht den Politikwissenschaftlern oder gar Ökonomen mit ihren technokratischen Machbarkeitsphantasien überlässt. Soziologie ist die verstehende Wissenschaft par excellence, sie sucht nach den Motiven, den wirklichen, nicht nur idealen Motiven hinter dem Handeln – nicht: Verhalten – von Menschen, konzipiert als interaktiv statt als monadisch. Von Beckert lernen wir, warum es wahrscheinlich nicht klappen wird mit einem Ende der globalen Erwärmung und verwandter Schrecken – und nicht, wie es eigentlich klappen müsste, wenn man nur mutig die richtigen Anreize ins Werk setzt und die Angereizten sich endlich eines Besseren besinnen. Gegenüber anderen Humanwissenschaften hat die Soziologie den Vorteil – sehr viele Vorteile hat sie ja nicht – dass sie als einzige über ein Gefühl für die soziale Trägheit eingelebter Alltagsverhältnisse (Max Weber) verfügt, für die Schwierigkeit, aus ihnen auszubrechen, wie sie sich freilich nur Erwachsenen erschließt, nicht den zahlreichen Kindern jeden Alters, die sich als ewig auf dem Sprung ins Gemeinfreie empfinden. (…)

Weiterlesen auf soziopolis.de