Social Contract or Expert Rule: Capitalism, Democratic Politics, Economic Expertise, and the Battle against „Populism“

In: Critical Review, 1-21

The German Wirtschaftswunder was not the result of economic expertise applied by Ludwig Erhard to postwar West Germany. There is no universally applicable theory-cum-practice of a “social market economy.” A capitalist economy is a political economy that requires an – always fragile – political settlement between capital and labour, one that needs to be re-negotiated on a current basis in the light of changing relations of power between the classes. To the extent that this requires expertise, it is the expertise of political practitioners, not of economists.“The economy” is not a second nature but a social battlefield..

François Godard’s book Germany, France, and Postwar Democratic Capitalims: Expert Rule – based upon his doctoral dissertation at the University of Geneva – could not be more ambitious: a history of post-1945 economic policy, indeed political-economic state-building, or democracy-building, in the two largest West European countries, Germany and France, complemented by two shadow cases, the UK and Italy, stretching out over nearly three decades. What we have here is, in short, high-grade historical institutionalism, driven by a dual program: empirically-historically, to show that West European postwar prosperity was owed, not to political compromise between capital and labor, but to states and governments applying expert knowledge on the economy to the economy; and theoretically-paradigmatically, to suggest that what counts in the world of democratic capitalism, and presumably not just there, are expert ideas, or “ideational models,” adopted and realized by government, rather than economic interests or the deals struck with and between them. (…)

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The Road Right

In: New Left Review, issue 152: On the German election of February 2025.

A high-turnout election, sharply polarized around immigration, has brought another centrist coalition to power in Berlin. Wolfgang Streeck offers an unsparing analysis of Germany´s political situation as its hardline incoming Chancellor rams through an expansive fiscal revolution and the far-right AfD doubles its seats..

In early march 2025, as Chancellor-in-waiting Friedrich Merz laid the groundwork for a massive German military build-up, sidelining the newly elected parliament to push through fiscal reforms that would double the annual defence budget to €100 billion, the Euro-establishment was in celebratory mood. Merz’s rearmament drive was ‘a stroke of commendable boldness’ and ‘a fantastic start’, declared the Economist. ‘From Paris to Warsaw, Brussels and beyond’, Merz’s move had understandably produced ‘giddy excitement’. The Guardian hailed it as a ‘bold and necessary leap’, a ‘chance to renew mainstream politics’ and ‘unleash the radical centre’. For the FT, it represented nothing less than ‘the reawakening of Germany’; for Le Monde, a ‘major and welcome turning point’. The measures may have required certain ‘democratic gymnastics’ to bypass the freshly elected Bundestag, Le Monde conceded, but ‘the times call for boldness’, and ‘the new dynamic in Berlin should be encouraged’. For El País, ‘“Germany is back” means “Europe is back”!’ Merz’s leadership ‘points the way for the rest of Europe.’ (…)

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Overextended: The European Disunion at a Crossroads

In: American Affairs, Volume IX, No. 1, Spring 2025, pp. 100-122.

With hindsight, one might consider Brexit, consummated after long haggling in 2020, the last, and lost, opportunity for the European Union to mend its ways and become a viable political entity, if not community.1 The departure of the United Kingdom did not register as a warning that the Union had become too internally diverse to hold together, having rapidly expanded both territorially and functionally. To the contrary, Germany under Merkel and France under Macron saw an opportunity, or pretended to see one, to push the old integration project—the “ever closer union of the peoples of Europe”—forward, now that “Euroskeptic” Britain, one of the Union’s Big Three, had left. But then, they arguably had little choice as the EU’s de facto constitution (two international treaties each hundreds of pages long) is practically unchangeable as any amendment has to be agreed by all member states, which some can do only after a referendum. One may assume that this rigidity was exactly what was desired when the treaties in their present form were signed in Maastricht in 1992 and Amsterdam in 1997, to cast in stone the logic of neoliberal political economy that was at the time considered the ultimate stage of economic wisdom. (…)

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A Matter of State: The Politics of German Anti-Anti-Semitism

In: European Journal of Social Theory, online first, 5 December 2024.

Accessing and explicating the complexities of the collective subconscious that underlies a culture requires a hermeneutic skill and a richness of concepts and examples that is not at my disposal. I have nothing to add to Heidrun Friese’s insightful psycho-analysis of the Tätervolk that wants to draw a Schlussstrich by insisting that it doesn’t want to draw a Schlussstrich, offering reparation, Wiedergutmachung, for what cannot be repaired, hoping to be forgiven the unforgivable by declaring it unforgivable. I will instead focus on a simpler subject, one that lends itself, I hope, to be treated with the less sophisticated toolkit of the political scientist: not the depths of culture but the heights of politics, of government, of state, in particular the contingencies and constraints faced by a German state which had chosen to be the successor state of the Drittes Reich, in its dual relationship with its international context and its domestic society. (…)

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Notes on the Political Economy of War

In: Review of Keynesian Economics, 12(3), 293–307.

Written in an essayistic style, this paper explores some of the facets of the complex dynamics of modern warfare, probing the dynamic nature of conflicts; the role of technology and technological progress – the means of destruction as distinguished from the means of production – in modern war; the role of the United States in the globalization of warfare; asymmetric war between civilization and barbarism; and new distinctions between good and bad war, together with new concepts of heroism and mercenaryism. The paper also touches on the socio-cultural impacts of war, including its potential to foster unity or exacerbate divisions within societies.

Wars are about killing and getting killed. This makes them passionate affairs, bordering on the metaphysical. When it comes to combat on the ground, there are no technocratic wars, clean and cool, conducted on the battlefield with the Hague Land Warfare Convention in hand. If the choice is between committing a war crime and dying, soldiers don’t think long. They also cannot but ultimately hate those who are out to kill them, which makes it easier to kill them first as a precaution. Families back home will forgive; it is better if the enemy dies than their son, husband, or father. Prosecution of soldiers by their country for war crimes is rare; even rarer is conviction, morale being more important in war than morals. (…)

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The EU at War: After Two Years

In: Society, July 18, 2024.

The paper explores the role of the European Union (EU) in the war in Ukraine, from the run-up of the war to its impact on the EU’s future structure and functions, within Europe and globally. It begins with an account of the condition of the EU before the war, which it describes as overextended and stagnant with respect to the EU’s proclaimed finalité, the “ever closer union of the peoples of Europe.” Next, it recounts the use of the EU in early American attempts to include Ukraine in the East European enlargement of NATO, with EU membership as a reward for Ukrainian Westernization. To the EU leadership, this presented an opportunity to revive older, by then largely failed attempts at supranational unification and centralization, by offering to the United States to serve as its transatlantic base for its Ukrainian strategy. Following this, the paper explores the consequences for the EU and its stronger member states of the impending American withdrawal from the Ukrainian war theater, as the US turns to its conflict with China. The final section discusses the conditions under which Europe, the European states, and the EU can hope for some kind of strategic and political autonomy in the emerging new New World Order.

By the time the war over Ukraine broke out, the European Union (EU) was a disorderly assortment of the remnants of various incomplete attempts at what had been called “European integration” — a vast supranational would-be state that had become practically ungovernable due to overextension and the extreme internal heterogeneity that had come with it. Rather than a supranational superstate ending the separate existence of the European nation-states, the EU had become a battlefield, or negotiating arena, for its member states pursuing their individual interests, both directly and indirectly: directly by negotiating deals with each other, indirectly by trying to control each other via the EU’s supranational institutions. Among the integration projects that had got stuck during the lifetime of the EU and its two predecessor organizations — the European Economic Community (EEC; 1957–1972) and the European Community (European Commission; 1972–1993) — we may list the so-called Social Dimension of the 1970s and 1980s, which fell victim to the turn towards a neoliberal supply-side economic policy during the long Delors presidency (1985–1994); the Internal Market of 1992, which remained unfinished; the European Monetary Union of 1999, which includes only some of the EU’s member states and has remained without a banking union, a fiscal union and, above all, a political union; the economic convergence of member states’ growth models, or varieties of capitalism; the political and social convergence of new member countries on the liberal “rule-of-law” constitutional model of Western Europe; etc. etc. (…)

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Versión española:
La Unión Europea en guerra: dos años después

Diario Red, 22 de julio 2024.

Para Estados Unidos una larga guerra de desgaste librada en el centro de Europa a lo largo de la frontera occidental rusa, tendría el efecto de atar corto y de modo conveniente a los europeos.

Este artículo analiza el papel de la Unión Europea (UE) en la guerra de Ucrania, desde los prolegómenos de la misma hasta sus repercusiones en la futura estructura y funciones de la UE, tanto en el seno de Europa como globalmente. Comienza con una descripción de la situación de la UE antes de la guerra, que describo como sobredimensionada y estancada con respecto a la proclamada finalité de la UE, la «unión cada vez más estrecha de los pueblos de Europa». A continuación relato la utilización preliminar de la UE por parte de Estados Unidos en su plan de ampliación de la OTAN hacia Europa Oriental, iniciativa que contemplaba la incorporación de Ucrania y su ingreso en la UE como recompensa por su occidentalización. Para los dirigentes europeos, ello representaba una oportunidad de revivir antiguos intentos de unificación y centralización supranacionales, por entonces en gran medida fallidos, para lo cual ofrecieron a Estados Unidos la Unión Europea como base transatlántica para su estrategia ucraniana. A continuación, el artículo explora las consecuencias para la UE y para sus Estados miembros más fuertes de la inminente retirada estadounidense del escenario bélico ucraniano a medida que Estados Unidos se concentra en su conflicto con China. La sección final analiza las condiciones en las que Europa, los Estados europeos y la UE pueden aspirar a algún tipo de autonomía estratégica y política en el Nuevo Orden Mundial emergente. (…)

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Rejoinder to Crouch

In: Journal of Classical Sociology, Vol. 23(3), 2023, 452-459.

I am grateful for the opportunity to respond to Colin Crouch’s essay. To avoid being too long, I will address only one of the issues raised, that of “globalization” and “de-globalization”—a quite central one of course. Beholding the reactions to my book, scholarly and otherwise, I was struck by how often readers, Crouch included, accused me of calling for “globalization” to be reversed, in favor of a “return” to isolated—in German: abgeschottet, best translated as “sealed off”—nations and national states.

How could that be? Probably I did not expect that reasonable interlocutors, even with polemical intent, would attribute such nonsense to the author of the book at issue, so I failed to hedge against it. When I still had students, I used to tell them that “globalization” has been around for a long time, as an irreversible stage of world history. Its beginning may be dated to October 14, 1492, when Columbus’ fleet landed on the island of Guanahani, later called San Salvador. This was the moment when the two wings of the human race, which had migrated from Africa to Eurasia some 60,000 years earlier, met again and reunited forever. One had moved west, where for many thousands of years, until they understood how to sail against the wind, they had to stop at the Atlantic. The other went east to the opposite coast where they ended up settling the two Americas. With the Spanish fleet’s landing, humankind was “globalized.” The political organization of the now earth-spanning human species changed continuously, from the empire of Charles V, in which the sun never set, through a variety of intermediate forms to the post-1990 U.S.-centric world capitalism, the New World Order of the elder Bush. What I discuss in my book is the merits and demerits, not of globalization as such—this would be utterly foolish—but of the economic and political form it has today taken, a form that—fortunately, I believe—is currently about to break down, after it has proved neither technically nor politically sustainable. (…)

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Rude Awakening: Germany at War, Again

In: American Affairs, Volume VII, Number 3.

The war in Ukraine has forced Germany to think seriously about its position in the world and its national interests, leaving behind the evasive pragmatism of the Merkel era. The Russian invasion of Ukraine compelled Germany on short notice to cut its trade relations with Russia and provide military support to Ukraine, following American and NATO policy. After a period of indecision, the German government, prodded by the United States, chose to seek a leading role in the western European war effort, and in western Europe generally. Its hope is that this will enable it to influence American and NATO strategic decisions, in particu­lar to prevent any direct involvement of NATO in the war. (…)

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Labour law after neoliberalism?

Ruth Dukes and Wolfgang Streeck. In: Journal of Law and Society, 2023, 1-20.

Abstract: Over the course of the past 40 years, neoliberalism has all but destroyed the institutions that once civilized labour markets. In the wake of that destruction, labour law reform is being driven in some jurisdictions by a new kind of right-wing populist politics. What does this hold in store for work relations? Our investigation of contemporary labour law begins with a brief look backwards to the pre- and post-war decades and to the ostensible depoliticization of the law under neoliberalism. We then consider the possible emergence of a distinctly right-wing populist approach to labour law in countries including the United States, the United Kingdom, and Poland, drawing comparisons with the German experience after neocorporatism. Finally, we take a normative turn and consider what steps ought to be taken by a government intent on addressing class inequalities and restoring the kind of rights that post-war democracies once conferred on workers understood to be industrial citizens.

Absent Without Leave: The European Union in the Corona Pandemic

In: Ordines – Per un sapere interdisciplinare sulle istituzioni europee, 7 (2021) 2, 20-31.

ABSTRACT – How did the European Union respond to the Covid-19 pandemic? The first part of the paper analyzes the logic of the EU’s multi-level politics as it relates to the relationship between national and supranational decision-making in an international emergency. Attempts on the part of the EU to increase its powers largely failed while member states were essentially left to their own devices, also due to the uncertainty of the situation and the diversity of local conditions and preferences. The second part deals with the apparent absence of the EU in the global politics of “biosecurity”, which is largely dominated by the United States, its global pharma industry and, to an impressive extent, by the U.S. military establishment. In this context, the paper summarizes the present state of the international discussion on the origin of the new coronavirus and on the virological research conducted, among other places, at the Wuhan virological laboratory.