Essay presented at Gaidar Forum 2017, „Russia and the World: Setting Priorities”, RANEPA Academy, Moscow, January 12-14, 2017, Panel discussion „Global Transformation in the Mirror of Historical Sociology“.
Discussion topic: The majority of the future forecasts of the 20th century was based on the growth prospects, whether of the economy, science and engineering, or population, or recovery of specific countries and regions. The first decades of the new 21st century brought considerable disillusion verging on disappointment in the modernistic pattern of steady progress. From everywhere, one can hear some doubts not only in the usefulness, but already in the inconvertibility of globalization. What is journalistic noise and what is really captured by the methods of modern science? This session offers a kind of stress test for the world powers. Leading academic experts analyze the prospects of traditional centers of capitalism and newly emerging market regions.